+++ New Eastleigh poll: Lib Dems 5% ahead, UKIP 3rd
Time to stick my neck out and trust to my sources… There’s a new Ashcroft Eastleigh Parliamentary by-election poll out at midnight. Looks like it will be Lib Dem 33%, Conservative 28%, UKIP 21% and Labour 12%.
That’s almost dead on the same as the last Populus poll and a shift to the Liberal Democrats from the last Ashcroft poll. Most significantly, the fieldwork was done on Friday, Saturday and Sunday – right at the height of the negative coverage for the Liberal Democrats over the Chris Rennard allegations.
Encouraging, but it still all comes down to who turns out to vote and what happens to undecideds…
Encouraging, but it still all comes down to who turns out to vote and what happens to undecideds…
And whether any more completely misguided statements come out on how the Lib Dems “screwed up”
..could swing for Tim Farron on his interview