The Sun says: ”Every August poll carried out before a spring election since 1996 has predicted the result to within one per cent.”
Reality says: MORI 24 August 2001 2000 – Con 29% (out by 4%), Lab 51% (out by 9%), lead 22% (out by 9%)
Although this is the most striking example, overall for example eight out of the 12 August polls since 1996 had the Labour lead out by more than 1%. Similarly, only three got the Labour share to within 1%.
Not exactly a case of “every”.
UPDATE: Himmelgarten Cafe points out that the graphic accompanying the Sun story isn’t exactly a piece of accurate representation.
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