Archive for john curtice

LibDem HQ, 4 Cowley Street

Why haven’t the Liberal Democrats broken through and what is necessary for them to do so?

26 April 2011 , ,
I recently answered a few questions for a student at Goldsmiths College writing a dissertation on the theme, “Why haven’t the Liberal Democrats broken through and what is necessary for them to do so?”. As it was a good set of questions, and my answers might also be of wider interest, here they are: 1. […]

Predicting the future: we didn’t turn Japanese

Shortly after the Conservative Party won its fourth general election in a row in 1992, a symposium met to consider the question of whether Britain – formerly a country with regularly rotating government between the two main parties – was turning into a political version of Japan, where the same party had been in power [...]
Lib Dem manifesto cover

The 2010 election in historical perspective

The following meeting report appears in the latest edition of the Journal of Liberal History – sent free to members of the Liberal Democrat History Group: Conference fringe meeting, 19 September 2010, with Professor John Curtice, Professor Dennis Kavanagh and James Gurling. Chair: Tony Little. Report by Dr Mark Pack. It has become a Liberal Democrat […]

Why wasn’t it “the economy, stupid” in 1997?

3 October 2009 , ,
Earlier this week I did a guest post on Political Betting – Channel 2: At the start of September, Mike Smithson drew attention to the improving figures on economic optimism – and how they haven’t been accompanied by a revival in Labour’s political fortunes: Like in 1997 the fact the index is “in the black” seems […]

A Delicate Balance: the history of Liberals and hung Parliaments

The Liberal Democrat History Group meeting at Bournemouth Conference, supported by The Guardian, looked at hung Parliaments. In his introduction, the meeting chair Duncan Brack explained that one reason for picking the topic is that work such as that by John Curtice has shown that the odds of the next general election producing a hung […]