Do Parliamentary by-election results foretell general election results?
Research from both Paul Whiteley and also Will Jennings shows how Parliamentary by-election and general election results match up. … Read the full post »
Read my posts featuring the work of political scientist Paul Whiteley and colleagues.
Research from both Paul Whiteley and also Will Jennings shows how Parliamentary by-election and general election results match up. … Read the full post »
Austerity and Political Choice in Britain comes with an all-star cast of authors – Harold D. Clarke, Peter Kellner, Marianne C. Stewart, Joe Twyman and Paul Whiteley. … Read the full post »
Much to my relief, the Liberal Democrat Newswire poll for the leadership contest turned out very close to the result and was the most accurate of the published polling. … Read the full post »
Six books, nearly all fun to read (expect perhaps one that is rather technical, with more in the way of regression equations than memorable case studies) and all packed full of useful election winning and party rebuilding advice.
… Read the full post »
There’s an error in Sex, Lies and the Ballot Box. It’s for the gender balance of Liberal Democrat party membership which is reported in the book as… … Read the full post »
The core thesis of Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain is that Britain’s recent general elections have been decided by “valence factors” – voters choosing based on perceptions of competence rather than ideology. … Read the full post »
The new forecast for the 2015 election released to the Guardian shows Labour on 291 seats, the Conservatives 281, the Lib Dems 48 and others 30. … Read the full post »
Edition #33 of Liberal Democrat Newswire came out last week, looking at what the polls say about the Lib Dems. … Read the full post »
With the Liberal Democrat (federal party) spring conference coming up in Sheffield on 11-13th March, I am going to be doing a series of posts previewing some of the main items up for debate. … Read the full post »