Archive for populus

The good news for Clegg in the poll details

Overall the pattern of the debate polls is one of a close result: 3 polls make Clegg the winner, 2 make Cameron the winner. The political impact is more contentious: edging it in the majority of polls would, in any other circumstances be a triumph for Clegg – but was it enough given what happened [...]

Are ITV the unluckiest commissioner of opinion polls?

22 April 2010 , , , ,
In the run-up to the 2005 general election, there was some excitement as a rolling poll commissioned by ITV from Populus showed the Conservatives slipping to a result even worse than 1997. However, there was a sharp (5 point) recovery in the final pre-election day poll from Populus, which was a normal non-rolling poll. Picking over [...]

No panic here, nothing to see, move along

Two different stories today, unconnected in one way but both – particularly when put together – speaking volumes for the current state of the Conservative Party. Obviously, panic or disagreements are in no way involved. Not at all. First we have ConservativeHome’s take on the party starting to use YouGov in addition to Populus: Up until now [...]

Is Danny Finkelstein right about televised party leader debates?

23 December 2009 , , ,
Over at The Times, Danny Finkelstein has cast doubt on the possible impact of the televised party leader debates at our next general election: By the time of the campaign proper they are probably too late. We should be having these debates now if we want them to be influential. In his piece, Danny draws on the [...]