The best Lib Dem ward results in London, part 2

Spiral staircase in City Hall, London - CC0 Public Domain

Following up the top 20 wards for Lib Dem vote share on the London Assembly list ballot, here are the wards with the 20 biggest increases in the Liberal Democrat list ballot between 2012 and 2016.

In doing these calculations, I’ve omitted Hackney, Kensington & Chelsea and Tower Hamlets due to boundary changes. There are a couple of wards in Tower Hamlets which might otherwise make it into the top 20, so I’ll do a bit more digging on those to see if a like-for-like comparison is possible.

Borough Ward 2012 list 2016 list Change
Kingston upon Thames Alexandra 14.3% 20.9% 6.6%
Sutton Wallington South 17.1% 22.9% 5.8%
Kingston upon Thames Berrylands 17.6% 23.0% 5.4%
Kingston upon Thames Grove 17.9% 23.1% 5.2%
Kingston upon Thames Old Malden 12.0% 17.0% 5.0%
Sutton Beddington South 13.7% 18.4% 4.7%
Kingston upon Thames Surbiton Hill 17.8% 22.2% 4.4%
Kingston upon Thames Chessington South 13.7% 17.9% 4.2%
Sutton Carshalton South and Clockhouse 16.7% 20.8% 4.0%
Kingston upon Thames Chessington North and Hook 16.8% 20.8% 3.9%
Kingston upon Thames Tolworth and Hook Rise 17.0% 20.8% 3.9%
Kingston upon Thames St James 10.1% 13.8% 3.7%
Southwark Surrey Docks 20.3% 23.9% 3.6%
Kingston upon Thames Norbiton 15.5% 18.6% 3.1%
Kingston upon Thames Beverley 15.7% 18.4% 2.7%
Kingston upon Thames St Marks 19.0% 21.2% 2.2%
Redbridge Roding 7.8% 10.0% 2.2%
Havering Romford Town 3.8% 6.0% 2.2%
Bexley East Wickham 3.6% 5.8% 2.2%
Kingston upon Thames Tudor 11.1% 13.1% 2.0%

Two immediate patterns leap out. One is the strong performance in Kingston, where across all the wards the Lib Dem vote averaged an increase of 3.2%. Kingston is the home patch of Emily Davey, who was number two on the Lib Dem list and just missed out on being elected. It is hard to see signs of any other GLA candidate – list or Assembly – having anything like the same impact in helping the party rebuild in an area. There are lessons for the wider party from what went relatively right in Kingston (though sadly even that Kingston performance wasn’t quite enough to get Emily elected).

The second is the relatively strong result in Roding. It had a council by-election on the same day in which Labour took a Conservative seat with the Lib Dems third, but in a ward that also has Lib Dem councillors.

There is also a council by-election due in Surrey Docks in Southwark (Lib Dem defence), which makes its strong appearance in both this and the previous table promising.

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