Political

A twist on the exit poll ban – private polls used to make money on polling day

There is a ban on publishing exit polls – that is polls based on how people have actually voted – before the polls close in an election or referendum. (See principally Section 66a, 1983 Representation of the People Act.)

The idea is to stop reports that the election result is set putting people off voting,ย such as if the media was dominated from lunchtime on polling day by reports that party X is going to win in a landslide.

Which makes the followingย an interesting twist – a way in effect of carrying out an exit poll, keeping the results secret and yet people being able to find out what the results are:

This all appears to be legal. Though of course reality will be muddied by the possibilities of other factors moving the sterling option price – such as speculators trying to outguess what other speculators will do in response to yet other speculators possibly having access to information.

But it could presage a breakdown in the traditional exit poll ban which generally has held up pretty well in the UK so far. One to watch.

 

Keep up with news about elections by email

If you’d like to be notified by email when new posts about how are how our elections are run appear on this blog, just sign up here. (Note: if you’re already signed up for a daily email alert with all my new blog posts, then there’s no need to sign up for these alerts too as the stories will also be in the full daily digest.)

  • If you submit this form, your data will be used in line with the privacy policy here to update you on the topic(s) selected. This may including using this data to contact you via a variety of digital channels.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Interested in more stories about how our elections are run? Follow my dedicated election law channels onย Facebook or Twitter which include bonus extra stories that don’t appear on this blog.

Advertisements

There are no comments

Share your views

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

All comments and data you submit with them will be handled in line with the privacy and moderation policies.