It appears that the way to avoid being surprised by election results is, ahem, to read me
Regular readers may recall that ahead of the 2017 general election I pointed out how the polls weren’t really all over the place and the range of likely results they pointed to included the Conservatives losing their majority.
And ahead of this year’s local elections? Lib Dem Newswire readers got the scoop on how a cool look at how support has changed since 2014 meant it was possible it would be Jeremy Corbyn, not Theresa May, under pressure as the election results come in.
The mistake, of course, would be to trust me to get it right next time.
But just in case I can make it three in a row, remember to sign up for my emails and don’t miss out.
Either you’ll get another conventional-wisdom-defying pointer that turns out right or you get to laugh at my hubris.
Win-win, I think you’ll agree.
P.S. There was no breakthrough in Kensington and Chelsea for a new party.
A bit of fun for you: as my son, Rupert, was re-elected to Eastleigh B.C. last night and I was elected to Chandler’s Ford P.C., it was father and son both elected on the same night.
And as you may have picked up from my Facebook page, I expect to become a niche pub quiz question as the answer to the question ‘Who was the oldest man ever to be elected to a parish council for the first time?’, will be: me (unless anyone can top 85). There are, I;m sure, some people of 85 and older serving on parish councils, but I’ll bet none of them got elected for the first time when they were that age.
The recent Malaysian election brought to power an opposition leader aged 92, apparently, but he had been Prime Minister before. Now – what had Mark predicted about that result?