Political

What’s been happening to the Labour Party opinion poll ratings?

I’ve mentioned a few times recently the gradually creeping upwards of Liberal Democrat ratings in voting intention polls. Let’s look at Labour this time instead.

The picture since the 2017 general election is a consistent and clear one, as these monthly averages taken from PollBase illustrate:

Labour Party opinion polls ratings since 2017 general election

Wider political commentary is starting to catch up with noticing those rising Liberal Democrat ratings.

I wonder when wider political commentary will key into what has been happening with Labour for the last year and a half?

One response to “What’s been happening to the Labour Party opinion poll ratings?”

  1. Yes. The Lib Dem gains are mirrored by Labour losses almost exactly. So it looks as if Labour supporters are switching to Lib Dem. Discussions in street canvassing support this, and point to Corbyn in particular, and Corbynisation in general. The expressed dissatisfaction is not just from some swing voters, but from long-standing committed and active members, including local Councillors. It is wider than their Brexit ‘stance(s !)’, but encapsulated by Brexit. And of course their following amongst young adults is related to Remain and tuition fees.

    Labour had a good conference, in the end. As it started, I wondered how many they would lose over the People’s Vote. However, they fudged over their Brexit issues. They seemed to sign up to new ideas in moderate social democrat territory and Corbyn had a barnstorming speech.

    It will be interesting to see how it is received. I suspect that they will get a bit of a temporary boost. But the ridiculous fudge over Brexit will lose its credibility – and probably sooner rather than later. A People’s Vote that has only Brexit options ? According to Comrade Corbyn, you can vote anyway you like as long as it is his way. No wonder he has trouble criticising Moscow. Brexit must meet the 6 tests that can obviously only be met within EEA, but EEA is ruled out ?

    It would be well worth pointing out their basic logical inconsistencies and real division over Brexit.

    But it would also be worth comparing Labour’s social democrat agenda with ours. At first glance, they seem not very different.

    It would be worth actively countering their whole ‘but, but, but, COALITION’, ‘student fees’, ‘you can’t trust a Liberal Democrat’, ‘Tory with a sad face’ schtick. Jo Swinson started doing very effectively in my opinion. The whole persona of Layla Moran was convincing. But I think that we need to go further. Effective opposition to Brexit, particularly their Tory Brexit ultras and their US-oriented sweat shop and tax haven is too important.

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