Wow, what a set of the Liberal Democrat local election results
Thank you!
To everyone who voted Liberal Democrat.
To everyone who campaigned so hard for the Lib Dems.
To everyone who stood for the Lib Dems.
And to everyone who was an election agent… with the most important tasks for you still to come!— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
All the signs from around the country on polling day were of a tremendous turnout of volunteers for the Liberal Democrats around the country, including in Watford where I did a sting of campaigning.
A poignant juxtaposition. #democracy #Watford #localelections2019 https://t.co/bWxXYmcQdD
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
Watford dream team, plus interloper. #Watford #watfordlibdems #localelections2019 https://t.co/jfL2GAX5pK
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
Watford polling day just before the rain… pic.twitter.com/B8d4NpB8Yq
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
More Watford campaigning with the ace Dawn and another great turnout of helpers from across London! pic.twitter.com/I79E2AHIOn
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
I’ll be covering the Liberal Democrat local election results in detail at the weekend in the next edition of Liberal Democrat Newswire.
Sign up now to ensure you get the full low down on what the results really mean for the Liberal Democrats, the battles over Brexit and the future of relations with Change UK.
In the meantime, key highlights from the results as they came in…
The record of Lib Dem leaders
One thing to look out for in the results is where they end up placing Vince Cable in the local government record of party leaders. It will only take modest Lib Dems gains for Cable to end his time as party leader as the second most successful, after Paddy Ashdown, in seeing growth in the party’s local government base:
- Paddy Ashdown: +1,390
- Charles Kennedy: +257
- Vince Cable (excluding May 2019): +78
- Tim Farron: +14
- Ming Campbell: -244
- Nick Clegg: -2,068
UPDATE: Vince Cable will be up to second plage in that table, and by quite some margin.
The results
An intriguing early result:
Quick! Massively over-analyse one early result. https://t.co/a2EJCbhhRV
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
I like Sunderland#LibDemSurge pic.twitter.com/RcxnCh3WFu
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
Lib Dem triumph in a studenty part of Newcastle. Right now Labour is losing out to UKIP and even the Conservatives among Leavers and Lib Dems/Greens among remainers. It's very early days but if this keeps up it will not exactly be a vindication of its Brexit strategy. https://t.co/IZ4C5eRdlk
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 2, 2019
The Liberal Democrats are faring better fairly evenly – with slightly higher gains in Remain-voting constituencies. They are still picking up some gains in big Leave-voting areas. @SkyNews @SkyNewsPolitics pic.twitter.com/v8vlUoa6a4
— Will Jennings (@drjennings) May 3, 2019
A sense of the regional divide – in our keywards sample so far:
Labour are down 5 points on 2015 in the North but up 3.5 points in the South, and flat in the Midlands.Cons down 2 points in North, 6 points in Mids, 8 points in South
LDs up 6 points in N & S, up 10 in Mids
— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) May 3, 2019
The big class & education divides in this round of locals are v much Con vs Lib Dem rather than to do with Lab performance. Cons doing much worse in areas with lots of graduates & middle class voters, better in areas with lots of no quals or working class voters. LDs opposite 1/2
— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) May 3, 2019
A very important point for Liberal Democrats to remember:
Sunderland has also seen a couple of Lib Dem gains from Labour on massive swings, and, as @p_surridge points out, signs of Green strength. It's almost like Leave areas also have Remainers living there too!
— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) May 2, 2019
There are some massive swings to the Lib Dems coming from northern England. https://t.co/vD7V9iyMyF
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
Nice vote share figures so far pic.twitter.com/cuYypKF2LB
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 2, 2019
Hampton Vale isn't in Peterborough constituency, but other LibDem wins are.
— Trevor Smith #FBPE (@Trevv69) May 3, 2019
completed count in #Broxbourne Hertfordshire. No seats change hands in this safe Tory borough – but Lib Dems won 17% in this hitherto unfertile area for them (no LD candidates in 2015).
— Lewis Baston (@lewis_baston) May 3, 2019
Hearing Jacob Rees-Mogg will soon have a @LibDems Councillor… #LocalElections2019
— Lib Dem Press Office (@LibDemPress) May 3, 2019
Two amazing results for the Liberal Democrats this morning as they take control of Cotswold District Council and Bath and North East Somerset from the Conservatives.
Cotswolds is a proper Tory shire stronghold. Alarm bells for CCHQ.
— Jack Maidment (@jrmaidment) May 3, 2019
As for the future of Change UK:
Another @stephenkb classic pic.twitter.com/6nFsGHN8DO
— Penny CS Andrews 🌈🔥 (@pennyb) May 3, 2019
The success of the Lib Dems in #LocalElections2019 points to big problems ahead for Change UK. The yellow bird has taken flight again to become the vehicle for protest votes against the two main parties. They have a better brand, campaigning nous and local infrastructure.
— Sebastian Payne (@SebastianEPayne) May 3, 2019
Dear Change UK,
No, we're not finished.
Yours,
The Lib Dems— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Message of these elections? @LibDems, with a clear #stopbrexit message, thousands of activists, millions of pieces of data and decades of experience of fighting elections, are ready and brilliantly positioned to champion #remain cause in #EUElection – time to swing behind them
— Ben Rich (@BenRich66) May 3, 2019
Regarding the Greens, worth noting:
I’m especially proud that so far across Oxon 6 @TheGreenParty Cllrs have been elected in pacts with @LibDems resulting in Tories losing VOWH and SODC. V much hoping @IanMiddletonX will be the 7th. This is what grown up politics looks like and the electorate rewarded it 😊
— Layla Moran (@LaylaMoran) May 3, 2019
And an interesting pointer for the Conservatives; their problems are much more than just the presence of Brexit rivals on the right:
No particular evidence that Cons doing any worse where UKIP are fielding candidates, or any better where UKIP are dropping out.
— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) May 3, 2019
The results are looking better and better for the Lib Dems:
Possibly the boldest political RT of the day so far pic.twitter.com/q011t7kke3
— Callum May (@callummay) May 3, 2019
Twitter was still a decade away from being created the last time the @LibDems made so many Council seat gains.
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
New Liberal Democrat councils so far:
Vale of White Horse
North Norfolk
Hinckley & Bosworth
Winchester
Bath & North East Somerset
Cotswolds
Chelmsford
North Devon
Somerset West & TauntonQuite a list!
(Reposting as a strange/hidden character crept into list – sorry!)
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Number of Lib Dem gains now over 300, and rising. That already makes it the best year for gains for the party since 1995.
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
This is the big Liberal Democrat come-back story in the South West overnight: the Lib Dems have overturned huge Tory majorities on the two previous district councils – West Somerset and Taunton Deane – which merged to formed the new council. @LibDems @Conservatives https://t.co/tYYC4qJ1eN
— Martyn Oates (@bbcmartynoates) May 3, 2019
AWESOME! https://t.co/6KVRFHuCrj
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
It's only been one of many factors in these results, but really please at the work I put in with others last year to ensure ALDC had the funds to do its biggest ever round of Kickstart training – the training is fab, and the results… https://t.co/5HJPrLPiN2
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Great to hear that hundreds of people are joining the Lib Dems following the local election results starting to come in.
And nearly as many extra new people signing up as registered supporters too.
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Now that @LibDems have spectacularly won control of Chelmsford, it's quite fun to look back on this: note the Conservative confidence, disdain for social media and avoidance of canvassing.https://t.co/1j4R2ImXwv
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
North Herts council leader loses seat to Lib Dems after drawing straws https://t.co/mLWo1prL56
— LibDemNewswire🔶 (@LibDemNewswire) May 3, 2019
And it is not good for Labour at all:
In four years as leader of Labour in opposition, Corbyn has run up a net loss of 400 council seats (and rising) in the May rounds of local elections. That's remarkably bad for a Leader of the Opposition.
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Barry Gardiner's offer to help Theresa May deliver Brexit – "we are in there trying to bail you guys out” – will sound good in Sunderland and Barnsley. But the backlash from Labour's overwhelmingly pro-Remain activist base is already building
— George Parker (@GeorgeWParker) May 3, 2019
Er, no. https://t.co/G8AJpUS1Oc
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Many of those who have been key to running winning campaigns this time were brought into politics by and learnt their trade thanks to Paddy Ashdown.
On net seat gains, these are the best local elections since Paddy Ashdown's time as leader. Such a tragedy he's not here to witness this scale of recovery for the party he called "my pride and my purpose".
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Lib Dems set to beat +531 gains of 1991, making this the best result since modern consistent records began in 1983 and quite possibly since well before 1945. Damn, I knew I should have tried to fill in those gaps in the records at some point…
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
When I was young, an annual pleasure was buying the Guardian on the Saturday after the local elections, going for a coffee and looking through all the unexpected places where the Liberal or Lib Dems had made gains. I shall be able to do it again tomorrow.
— Jonathan Calder (@lordbonkers) May 3, 2019
Two numbers make me very happy:
+703 Lib Dem gains (it starts with a 7!)
-145 Ukip loses (it has three digits!)— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
You helped give the battle for our values a huge boost.
Thank you – and if you do want to try again, I'm sure your time will come again, soon.
— Mark Pack (@markpack) May 3, 2019
Sky News 5 am headlines: “The pattern of the night shows the voters turning on both Labour and the Conservatives. The Lib Dems have had a revival.”
Laura Kuenssberg, BBC Political Editor on the Lib Dems winning the Cotswolds: “We can’t overstate it. That is quite something. That should be absolutely solid Tory territory.”
I just want to give a shout out to our often overlooked team in Oadby & Wigston (Leics) who after 28 years in control – longer than any council apart from Sutton – came within a few hundred votes of a clean sweep winning all but two seats. It takes a huge amount of commitment and hard work to maintain the support of the community on a district wide basis for so long and the many Lib Dems who have served on the council deserve a huge amount of credit for delivering on the party’s values now for a generation.
Interesting in my patch 3 months ago 6 of our 30 councillors weren’t selected or even thinking about standing. We have worked as a Press group for 3 years and this has paid dividends. The independents and Greens also made gains. We will now press on with improving our transport links with special attention to environmental issues and recycling etc