First, and most importantly, all the caveats about constituency polls apply, although it is worth noting that so far constituency polls and MRP modelling are giving broadly similar results. That two different approaches give similar results suggests more confidence in the picture and certainly undermines any naive faith in the last general election as being the definitive best guide to tactical voting. The evidence is stacking up rather differently.
With that, here are the poll results…
This is a constituency of double-interest due to being held by arch-Brexiter John Redwood and due to the Liberal Democrat candidate being recent recruit to the Parliamentary Party Phillip Lee: