Political

Why are the Conservatives being so downbeat about their election prospects?

After the May 1978 elections (i.e. the last round of elections before they won the general election) the Conservatives had 49.6% of councillors.

After May 1996 (i.e. the last round of elections before they won the general election) Labour had 48.1% of councillors.

The Conservatives had 38.6% after last May’s elections, so to get up to 48.1% would require net gains of over 2,000 councillors this May (even allowing for by-election gains in the interim).

Yet although the Conservatives talk about wanting to win the next general election, this is way beyond what I can find any Conservative talking about. Hmmm……