Lib Dem leadership contest: Ed and Jo should take a lesson from Chapter 11…
You may have heard that I’ve written a book.
Here’s how Chapter 11 starts:
Define the election as being for a job your candidate and only your candidate can do.
As Ed Maxfield and I went on to say in that chapter:
A winning campaign … needs to convince votes that the post you are competing for is one that you, and only you, can do … Liking you is not enough; you must be preferable to the other candidates on the ballot paper.
I was reminded of this during the first hustings from the Liberal Democrat leadership contest, with Ed Davey and Jo Swinson debating Friday night in Islington.
It was their first outing on the hustings circuit and, it’s fair to say, it showed rather. Both their stump speeches and answers to obvious questions didn’t show the sort of consistent polish and sharpness they will (or should) in a few weeks. It was also, however, possible to see how both are shaping up to make their pitches, with Ed Davey majoring more on the environment and Jo Swinson more on building a liberal movement, for example.
But what struck me as missing from either was much of an attempt – whether successful or not in these early oratorical showings – to do that basic of an election campaign and frame it as being for a job that they and only they can do. It was notable, in particular, how nearly everything either said the other one could have said too, save for some specific mother and son references.
Nor was that lack of attempted distinction between the two merely my take on it. Chatting to a variety of people afterwards – Ed, Jo and undecided voters – that was a consistent theme across what people said. They seemed pretty interchangeable much of the time.
Whichever of them first manages to have a real run at defining the job as being one that only they are the right answer for will have a big advantage in the contest.
Highlights from the Lib Dem leadership hustings
Room safely leafleted despite sneaky trick of fellow Lib Dems keeping on putting out more chairs when my back is turned. https://t.co/HIrBmKJXHI
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Hundreds of Lib Dems here for leadership hustings in Islington. (The one empty seat is mine!) https://t.co/sTrcTJ2BWS
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Jo and Ed agree that People's Vote best as issue needs to be decided by people – revoke Article 50 only as last gasp measure to avoid a no deal Brexit.
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Q. What's your big issue other than Brexit?@EdwardJDavey – take carbon out of capitalism and stop climate change@joswinson – change the way the economy works so it works for the planet and for people #LibDemLeadership #libdemhustings
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
So far in the Q+A nearly every Jo and Ed answer pretty interchangeable. Each's answer could come from the other. Not obvious either has a clear plan on how to stand out from the other. Nor is either willing/wanting to say anything that challenges the audience's comfort zones.
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
On to working with other parties… Jo wants Lib Dems to be at heart of a wider movement for liberal values, and that in some areas local parties can and should make deals with other parties. Ed – in Parliament have to work with other parties, emphasises his caution re ChangeUK
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Question about how to work with artists formerly known as TIG. Swinson says if people share Liberal values they should join. Ed Davey gets laugh for saying he was cautious about Change UK “because I’ve met them”. Says they are “nice people” but “not liberals”.
— Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) May 31, 2019
Ed notably more hostile towards local pacts and deals but he wouldn't try to order local parties around.
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Lib Dem leadership candidates almost never differ significantly on policy. I wish they’d ask more questions on strategy and narrative. In this party, leaders don’t decide policy anyway!
— Duncan Brack (@DuncanBrack) May 31, 2019
Electoral reform – @EdwardJDavey says route to securing it for the Commons is to bring it in for local government in England and Wales first to spread familiarity with it. #LibDemLeadership #libdemhustings
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
@joswinson – gets lots of applause for mentioning votes at 16 in Scotland (ahem, @philipjcowley). For Commons electoral reform, wants different parties to share a commitment agreed cross-party in advance at next election.
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Jo highlights how relatively little party invests in digital campaigning – one of the very few specific comments about party organisation from either candidate #LibDemLeadership #libdemhustings
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Asked what they most admire about each other, @joswinson picks @EdwardJDavey's environmental expertise. He picks her campaigning, especially on diversity and shared parental leave. #libdemhustings #LibDemLeadership
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
Ed edges it 11-9 seconds on closing speeches applause – also had the best applause lines during his (even if it was the obvious comfort applause lines such as complaining about media bias) #LibDemLeadership #libdemhustings
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
And thanks to @SalBrinton for her chairing.
— Mark Pack đź”¶ (@markpack) May 31, 2019
UPDATE: Footage of the Lib Dem leadership hustings is now online.
The 2019 Lib Dem leadership election is being covered by me both in podcast form with Stephen Tall in Never Mind The Bar Charts (subscribe here) and in email newsletter form with Liberal Democrat Newswire (sign up here).