Lib Dem voters prefer a Labour to a Conservative government by 4:1
Forced to choose, four times as many Lib Dem voters would go for a Labour government headed by Keir Starmer than a Conservative one headed by Boris Johnson. … Read the full post »
Lord Michael Ashcroft
Read about the Conservative Party peer and pollster Lord Michael Ashcroft.
Are the Lib Dems about to lose an MP? Never Mind The Bar Charts Episode #6
Welcome to the latest edition of Never Mind The Bar Charts, in which Stephen finally gets me to talk about Brexit. But only after discussing the Newport West by-election. … Read the full post »
New polling, same strategic picture for the Liberal Democrats
The latest polling for Lord Ashcroft, looking at the big political spaces there are for potential new parties, or existing ones to grow, repeats the picture… … Read the full post »
Corbyn’s ratings slip to only slightly better than May’s amongst Remain voters
This graph most struck me in the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft, showing as it does that Jeremy Corbyn’s ratings amongst Remain voters have continued to slide. … Read the full post »
Brexit one of the most important issues for Londoners in May council elections
One of the fundamental features of a democracy is that not only do voters get to choose who to vote for, they also get to choose what criteria they use. … Read the full post »
The bad news for Remainers in the latest Guardian poll on Brexit
At first sight, the headlines are good, very good in fact, for Remainers when it comes to the latest Guardian poll on Europe. It shows a 58% – 42% solid lead for people wanting a referendum on the exact terms of Brexit when we know what they are. … Read the full post »
Tactical voting, pacts and vote-swapping (LDN #96)
Candidates don’t get to control what their would-be voters do. That sounds obvious, and indeed is obvious, yet is also frequently forgotten. … Read the full post »
Another podcast for your delivering pleasure
On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast, Leo is joined by Lib Dem writer and campaign strategist Mark Pack to discuss the Lib Dem fightback and the new Polling Matters / Opinium survey on the party’s prospects. … Read the full post »
A reminder of how little the public know about politics
Perhaps the most common mistake political campaigners make is to think that it’s boring, unnecessary and Luddism for political campaigns to keep on repeating a small number of messages. … Read the full post »
Are the voters on Twitter typical of the rest of us?
Are people on Twitter representative of the rest of us? Much analysis – too much analysis, in fact – rests on the hope that it is. … Read the full post »