Do Parliamentary by-election results foretell general election results?
Research from both Paul Whiteley and also Will Jennings shows how Parliamentary by-election and general election results match up. … Read the full post »
Parliamentary by-elections
Here are my posts about Parliamentary by-elections in general. There’s a separate tag for each specific one I’ve written about – just hit search to find those posts.
Lib Dems score another Shropshire by-election win with huge swing from Conservatives
Six by-elections this week, two Parliamentary and four principal authority local by-elections. … Read the full post »
Big swing from Labour to Lib Dems in London by-election
After Wednesday’s two by-elections, Thursday brought a Parliamentary by-election and two further principal authority council contests. … Read the full post »
Double Lib Dem selection news: Parliamentary by-election and London Mayor
The Liberal Democrats have selected candidates for Rutherglen and Hamilton West and Mayor of London. … Read the full post »
“The Liberal Democrats have been making the spectacular seem routine”
So wrote John Curtice after the latest record-breaking Parliamentary by-election by the Liberal Democrats. … Read the full post »
A Parliamentary by-elections bar chart
I know readers would expect nothing less of me following the Somerton and Frome result. … Read the full post »
An important detail in the Parliamentary by-election results
The full results from the Uxbridge and South Ruislip Parliamentary by-election bring a warning about campaigning on Europe. … Read the full post »
Two more Parliamentary by-election polls
JL Partners have two Parliamentary by-election opinion polls out this week, one in London and one in Yorkshire. … Read the full post »
The first by-election opinion poll got it right, while pundits got it wrong
The Fulham West by-election 1938 was won for Labour by Edith Summerskill, taking the seat from the Conservatives by 52%-48% in the face of widespread predictions by pundits that the Tories would hold on. Why mention this? … Read the full post »
Can you trust Parliamentary by-election polls? The Week in Polls, 5 June
What’s the track record of Parliamentary by-election polls? Here’s some evidence. … Read the full post »