Edition #57 of Liberal Democrat Newswire came out last week, looking at why the TV debates will be on the wrong dates, who should you bet on to be next party leader and more. … Read the full post »
Read my posts featuring Mike Smithson, polling expert and the founder of political betting website Political Betting.
Support for staying in the EU hits its highest levels for over 20 years. … Read the full post »
From IpsosMORI – the top ten most read political blogs amongst MPs. … Read the full post »
Mike Smithson has tweeted a timely reminder about how little attention most people pay to big political news… … Read the full post »
It’s up to the public to decide what factors will influence its votes. That’s democracy. … Read the full post »
So here are the facts as we know them about Danny Alexander and the Daily Telegraph’s allegations. … Read the full post »
A quick explanation for people who are new to pouring over the details of polls and, as several people have commented, are confused by the conflicting figures given for whether a party is up or down and if so by how much in a poll.
Different polling companies use different methods, so comparing – say – … Read the full post »
Over on Political Betting, David Herdson has several times made comments such as this:
Since the start of March, there have been sixty national opinion polls published and they have shown a remarkable consistency in the total share identified for Labour plus Lib Dems. When one party rises, the other tends to fall.
I’ve been intrigued by … Read the full post »
In the late 1980s and 1990s Clifford Stoll was a best-selling author, recounting tales of tracking down hackers and with an impressive technical knowledge of how to find out who was doing what online. As a pundit though he’s turned out to be rather less good and in particular a 1995 piece of his often … Read the full post »
As I blogged last month, The Voice is going to start rating the quality of the media’s coverage of opinion polls, which is often far from perfect:
There is progress, helped no doubt by the criticism from Anthony Wells and Mike Smithson, both of whom are respected by many of the relevant journalists.
However, there is still … Read the full post »