Political

Lib Dems make another by-election gain off Conservatives in Somerset

Three principal authority council by-elections this week and all, hooray, with Liberal Democrat candidates.

The Lib Dem run of wins in Somerset just keeps on going:

Kevin Messenger and the Somerset Lib Dem team

Many congratulations to new councillor Kevin Messenger and the team.

Thank you to Thomas Clarke for getting the Lib Dems on the ballot after last time’s no-show.

Thank you to Lib Dem candidate David Quayle for also getting the party on the ballot paper after a no show before.

For what all this means for the running total of council by-election results since the last May elections, see my council by-elections scorecard here.

These by-election results round-ups cover principal authority by-elections as it’s only those for which comprehensive results are available.

Understanding the opinion polls

For understanding what is happening in politics, by-elections have the advantage of being real votes in real ballot boxes. But the opinion polls have the advantage of trying to be a representative sample of voters, not just those in the places that happen to have by-elections. To understand the polls properly – and what they do and don’t really tell us – see my book, Polling UnPacked: The History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls.

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