Political

Three constituency polls show Lib Dem vote up very sharply in key seats

Three constituency polls commissioned by The Observer are out, all in heavily Remain areas and all showing a massive growth in Liberal Democrat support.

In all three cases, it looks too that tactical voting by erstwhile Labour supporters may well be key to the result. How much do they want to defeat the Conservatives in those constituencies?

Finchley and Golders Green

This is the seat being fought by Luciana Berger, which has already been polled once for this campaign. The new poll shows:

Kensington

The constituency where Sam Gyimah is standing:

Wimbledon

Paul Kohler is the Liberal Democrat candidate here.

Labour tactical voters key to beating Conservatives

To get that message out to Labour voters in those seats, of course, Lib Dems choosing also to target their campaigning in such seats is important.

Get polling news and analysis by email

Sign up here if you would like to receive the Polling UnPacked occasional email newsletter, highlighting the best in analysis and news about British political opinion polling from a carefully curated range of high-quality sites (no more than one email a day and usually much less frequent):

  • If you submit this form, your data will be used in line with the privacy policy here to update you on the topic(s) selected. This may including using this data to contact you via a variety of digital channels.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
Advertisements

2 responses to “Three constituency polls show Lib Dem vote up very sharply in key seats”

  1. I get annoyed at seeing the polls showing Tories way up Labour up us down (I know we are aiming for certain ones) a squeeze. Johnson Corbyn are not fit to govern but yet they ride high in the polls. I consider do they (pollsters) fix the result by going to ,say, leave areas to allow Tories up and vice versa for Labour, steer the question a certain way to get the result they want. To me the results can push people into saying ‘oh well are in the lead we might well vote for them ‘, it influences the way people vote. They should not be allowed in the period of a GE.

    Reply

  2. Looks as though this polling was done without naming the candidates, whereas the previous Finchley and Golders Green poll did mention candidates and hence the Lib Dem lead in that one. One could quite readily see Berger’s candidacy in tipping the balance in Lib Dem balance due to her popularity in the Jewish community.

    Would be interesting to see what the impact of naming candidates in other two too, especially Ken & Chel as Dent Coad is meant to have some popularity there due to her campaigning on Grenfell. While Gymiah will surely more popular with liberal Tories who could still be down for voting Tory or undecided.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

All comments and data you submit with them will be handled in line with the privacy and moderation policies.