Here are my posts which have an historical theme. You will notice the emphasis on 19th century British political history in particular, a period which I studied for my history PhD.

As Winston Churchill said, explaining the practical application of history to forecasting, “The longer you can look back, the further you can look forward”.

Plus, history is just such fun, with a wealth of amazing stories, fascinating details and important lessons for the present.


Great footage from the 1969 Islington North Parliamentary by-election

Some things are rather different about elections in North Islington now compared with 1969, including the fame of the current MP. But as this report from the 1969 Islington North by-election shows – not everything.

Note in particular the early reference to immigration and housing.

Despite the less than flattering portrayal of levels of support for the Conservative candidate, he secured a 9.2% swing as Labour held the seat by just 1,534. The independent candidate, who gets a very favourable cut of the coverage, polled just 245 votes.

A reminder of the perils of such editorially selected decisions about how to portray people in the absence of good polling data to provide an objective frame of reference.